Welsh Grand National Betting
Betting on the Welsh Grand National begins to reach a peak in the run-up to Christmas, the event itself being staged on December 27th no matter what day of the week that should fall.
The race, therefore, comes hot on the heels of the major Boxing Day races in Britain, although the 2020 event was delayed January 9th, 2021 owing to it being called off after host track Chepstow experienced very inclement weather.
Sponsorship can change but in recent times major bookmaker Coral has added its name to the race title, the event being one for the dour stayers as the field faces 3 miles, 6½ furlongs, 23 fences and very often testing underfoot conditions.
Including in the rearranged 2020 race, the Welsh National has seen only three winning favourites in 10 years with the average SP of winners being 9/1.
Welsh Grand National 2021 Runners
In the rescheduled 2020 race, Welsh trainer Evan Williams won his home Grand National for the first time with the well-backed 5/2 favourite Secret Reprieve, who may yet be back for more.
Welsh Grand National – Potential Runners
You can find some potential runners in the table below:
|Welsh Grand National Favourites||Runners 2021||Stats||Go to Site and See Odds|
|1||Captain Drake||Age: 8|
Trainer: Harry Fry
|Go to Coral|
|2||Kimberlite Candy||Age: 8|
Trainer: Tom Lacey
|Go to Coral|
|3||Secret Reprieve||Age: 7|
Trainer: Evan Williams
|Go to Coral|
|4||The Two Amigos||Age: 9|
Trainer: Nicky Martin
|Go to Coral|
The last ten years has shown us that, despite it being a great test of stamina and constitution, the Welsh Grand National is somewhat of a young man’s game.
Secret Reprieve, who would have been still 6 had the 2020 race gone ahead as scheduled, became the third horse of that age to win in five seasons with star performers Native River and Elegant
Escape also six when winning. Interestingly, those three horses were also the only three winning favourites of the last decade.
In terms of those younger horses beginning a trend, the same can be said for trainers. A Welsh trainer had not won the Welsh Grand National for many a year until Christian Williams landed the 2019 event with Potters Corner, now Evan Williams’ victory has made it two in two for local trainers.
Welsh Grand National 2021 Odds
Welsh Grand National ante-post odds will be made available by the summer, after the Grand National at Aintree and the Scottish equivalent at Ayr have been staged. Betting gets heated naturally in the days leading up to the race at Christmas time.
One piece of advice we can give if you’re betting ante-post is to look for a bookmaker which offers ‘NRNB’ – ‘non-runner, no bet. This way, if you bet in advance and get a good price but then your horse ends up not running in the race, you can get your money back.
Many pro punters tend to wait until the final declarations for the Welsh Grand National are through anyway, as lots of top contenders will still be offered up at double-figure odds.
Welsh Grand National Tips
Trainer Colin Tizzard was responsible for two winners of this race in recent years; Elegant Escape and Native River, so anything he enters should be taken seriously.
The quality of contenders has improved in Welsh stables too and so it is no coincidence that trainers Christian and Evan Williams have landed the last two runnings, with they and other Welsh-based handlers looking to take advantage of their home turf in 2021.
Almost all serious contenders for this race will have run at least 5 times over fences, while winning at three miles plus and/or in another National or National Trial is hugely important for their prep.
Welsh Grand National Betting Trends
Trends are changing in the Welsh Grand National. Winning favourites were previously rare, however three of the last 5 have now gone in.
All three were also six years old, or at least would have been had the race been run on schedule, with 7 of the last 10 winners aged no more than 9.
In the past decade, a 16/1 winner who made a special trip from Ireland for the race and a 20/1 shot (Mountainous) who had won the race before went in, but if you take those two out the winning SP’s have been 10/1, 10/1, 9/1, 9/1, 11/4f, 3/1f, 8/1 and 5/2f. It seems that, increasingly, it is better to concentrate on the top end of the market and not look for any big outsiders.
Recent Welsh National Winners
- 2020 – Secret Reprieve (5/2 fav)
- 2019 – Potters Corner (8/1)
- 2018 – Elegant Escape (3/1 Fav)
- 2017 – Raz De Maree (16/1)
- 2016 – Native River (11/4 Fav)
- 2015 – Mountainous (9/1)
- 2014 – Emperor’s Choice (9/1)
- 2013 – Mountainous (20/1)
- 2012 – Monbeg Dude (10/1)
- 2011 – Le Beau Bai (10/1)
- 2010 – Synchronised (5/1)
- 2009 – Dream Alliance (20/1)
- 2008 – Notre Pere (16/1)
- 2007 – Miko De Beauchene (13/2)
- 2006 – Halcon Genelardais (7/1)
- 2005 – L’aventure (14/1)
- 2004 – Silver Birch (10/3 Fav)
- 2003 – Bindaree (10/1)
- 2002 – Mini Sensation (8/1)
- 2001 – Supreme Glory (10/1)
Key Welsh National Betting Trends
Here are a few key trends of recent winners to keep in mind when thinking of placing a bet on the 2021 Welsh Grand National:
- 20/20 had run within 7 weeks of the race
- 20/20 had won at least one chase race before
- 20/20 had run at least 5 times over fences
- 19/20 had won over at least 3 miles over fences (the other won a Welsh National Trial over nearly 3 miles)
- 18/20 were aged 9 or younger
- 18/20 finished in the first 4 home last time out
- 16/20 carried no more than 10st10lbs
- 15/20 returned an SP of 10/1 or less
- 10/20 had previously won over fences at Chepstow (interesting, but not a prerequisite)